Fact: Iran Is No Persian Empire (And Should Be Treated As Such)

Key point: It would make little sense to commit heavy resources to offset a secondary worry such as Iran—especially if the opportunity costs were losing out in the Western Pacific, the Mediterranean, or elsewhere around the Eurasian periphery. When pondering some strategic quandary you can get oriented by postulating what the greats in the field would say about it. What they said or wrote about roughly similar circumstances furnishes clues to what they might say about today’s strategic conundrums. This is the beginning of wisdom. The classics seldom furnish ready-made…

TOBIAS ELLWOOD: Why Australia’s inferno is linked to climate change led by China’s domination bid

Britain is starting the year with a little more optimism and a resolve to raise its political game.  Yet this new decade has the potential to be the most dangerous and volatile since the Cold War.  In addition to a resurgent Russia and Iran, we have to contend with extremism, creeping authoritarianism and cyber-conflict. Power struggle: China’s fight for world domination is impacting on climate change, Ellwood warns Apocalyptic scenes: The devastating bushfires have claimed the lives of around 23 people and scores of wildlife Despite all this, I predict…

The Mekong Delta: an unsettling portrait of coastal collapse

Some environmental disasters present themselves over years; others come with a bang — or a splash. The latter happened one day last August, when residents of Binh My, a commune in Vietnam’s lush Mekong Delta, heard a loud cracking sound. They went outside to watch a 25-metre-long chunk of the highway that runs alongside their houses collapse into the river as the asphalt gave way.  One of Asia’s biggest wetlands is subsiding into the sea, the result in part of rising sea levels created by climate change.  But when asked…

Asia Times | China might take Iran’s side in a war with US

After the US assassination of Iran’s General Qasem Soleimani on Friday, Germany’s Spiegel Online observed that this is akin to a declaration of war on Iran. Now the US Congress is scrambling for a debate on a formal declaration of war, although it will unlikely block the Trump White House’s march toward the battlefield. Last March, President Donald Trump reviewed the Pentagon’s plan to send 120,000 US troops to counter Iran, and the current military buildup of deploying 3,500 more US troops to the region may be part of that plan. Also, in 2017, a…

India Pakistan: View: How secure will India be in 2020?

By Major General (Retd) S.B. Asthana National Security has a wide span and needs to cover much wider period for any meaningful analysis, but to be realistic about current security dynamics of the country, speculating the immediate trends under the existing realities may be useful, especially in a high voltage political scenario in the country. While the year 2019 has seen a lot of activities with regard to national security from Balakot strike, abrogation of Article 370, administrative reorganisation of erstwhile state of Jammu and Kashmir (J&K) into two Union…