China And Russia Fret Over US Global Dominance – Analysis – Eurasia Review

By Dr Subhash Kapila China and Russia stand rattled and fret on their inability to dent United States global predominance in 2019  as reflected in my earlier writings, the United States short of war, has “aggressively unleashed its new economic arsenal to assert its power” as the latest issue of The Economist so puts it. Analytically, the United States seems to be paying back to China and Russia for their military brinkmanship on their respective peripheries by “poker style brinkmanship” applied effectively by economic strategies as opposed to military strategies,…

China Fighting A Losing Battle Against US In Indo Pacific Region – Analysis – Eurasia Review

By Dr Subhash Kapila Perceptional battles which today constitute the main ingredient of foreign policies of major Nations indicates that China is losing out to United States in the Indo Pacific Region in 2019 going by the ‘lonesome’ statement of intent asserted by China in response to assertion of forceful intent on upholding Indo Pacific security by United States at the ongoing Shangri-La Dialogue commencing May 31 2019. Overall balance of power in Indo Pacific Asia is heavily tilted in favour of the United States supported by Asia’s two Emerged…

Lorenzana renews call to review mutual defense treaty with U.S. after latest tension in PH sea

Metro Manila (CNN Philippines, June 8) — The country’s Defense secretary reiterates the need to review the mutual defense treaty with the United States, following a recent apparent near collision between U.S. and Russian warships in the Pacific. Defense Secretary Delfin Lorenzana previously warned that the sustained U.S. operations in the South China Sea could drag the Philippines into a conflict not of its own doing. On Friday, U.S. and Russian warships came somewhere between 50 feet and 165 feet of each other, according to the two opposing reports, with…

US Bill Targeting China In South China Sea Is Misguided And Hypocritical – Analysis – Eurasia Review

As both a response and contribution to the anti-China hysteria sweeping Washington, US Senators Tom Cotton (R-Arkansas), Marco Rubio (R-Florida) and Ben Cardin (D-Maryland have reintroduced the South China Sea and East China Sea Sanctions Act (the Bill).  https://www.rubio.senate.gov/public/_cache/files/80e0c63e-b521-4929-a48c-db042c096d6a/26BE75C8BO5BC1EOC2AA4902.south-china-sea.pdf     Its purpose is to “impose sanctions against Chinese entities that participate in Beijing’s attempts to assert its expansive maritime and territorial claims in these disputed regions.” https://www.cotton.senate.gov/?p=press_release&id=1136 Regarding the South China Sea, this bill is ill-informed, misguided, biased and hypocritical.  If it becomes law, it would seriously damage US-China relations. …

Whither Indo-Pacific? – Analysis – Eurasia Review

By Dr Sandip Kumar Mishra* At the Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore this June, the US Acting Secretary of Defense Patrick Shanahan released the US Indo-Pacific Strategy Report. The subtitle of the report talks about the US goals of “preparedness, partnerships and promoting a networked region,” and the 55-page report appears to be a new and clearer vision of the US Indo-Pacific strategy. A few important points reveal themselves at the first reading. One, the Indo-Pacific strategy appears to have been accorded more priority in US foreign and defence policies, with…

Will Shangri-La Dialogue Avoid SCS Issue To Mollify Chinese Defense Minister? – OpEd – Eurasia Review

This year’s Shangri-La Dialogue (SLD), Asia’s premier defense summit, from May 31 to June 2 in Singapore will be more interesting than previous years for at least three reasons. The first one is that a Chinese minister of national defense will be attending the SLD for the first time in eight years. The last time China sent its defense minister Gen. Liang Guanglie (2008-2013) was in 2011. On June 2, Chinese Defense Minister Gen Wei Fenghe is expected to speak about China’s role in the Indo-Pacific region. Wei is also…

The Latest US Spin On Its South China Sea FONOPs Against China – Analysis – Eurasia Review

China has protested what it called a provocative US freedom of navigation operation (FONOP) by the US Navy destroyer Preble on 20 May near China-claimed Scarborough Shoal in the South China Sea. https://thediplomat.com/2019/05/south-china-sea-us-destroyer-conducts-freedom-of-navigation-operation-near-scarborough-shoal/ This was the Preble’s second FONOP targeting China’s claims this month and seemed to contradict last week’s statement by US Chief of Naval Operations Admiral John Richardson at a major security conference in Singapore that the US Navy has not stepped up the frequency of such FONOPs leading to confusion among friends and foes alike. https://thediplomat.com/2019/05/us-navy-chief-us-hasnt-stepped-up-sea-patrols-to-confront-china/;https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-southchinasea/chinas-attention-to-u-s-navy-operations-in-south-china-sea-sometimes-unwarranted-u-s-says-idUSKCN1SL0MK; https://www.navytimes.com/news/your-navy/2019/05/15/why-the-us-navys-top-admiral-says-it-hasnt-stepped-up-sea-patrols-to-confront-china/ Richardson had declared “I’ve done the…

The Standoff At Sandy Cay In The South China Sea – Analysis – Eurasia Review

When I began researching South China Sea issues, the topic was often the butt of deprecating jokes from ‘global strategic thinkers’ because they thought the issues were   ‘inconsequential’.  A common comment was ‘sea level rise will solve all the problems there, ‘ implying that the sea will cover all the contested features and thus make the disputes over ownership irrelevant. Such banality woefully underestimated the significance and complexity of these territorial and jurisdictional conundrums. We now know that these disputes could spark serious kinetic conflict. And instead of disputed features…

An Analysis Based On Personal Experience – Eurasia Review

“I am not going down in history as a clam defender, okay? … “No one goes to war for clams _” declared Philippines Foreign Affairs Secretary Teodoro Locsin Jr. https://www.philstar.com/headlines/2019/04/18/1911076/locsin-no-one-goes-war-clams  “War” over giant clams ??!! What, who, where, when and why? I first became aware of the existence of giant clams (Tridachna) as a youngster growing up in New England I watched a black and white TV show that depicted– with ever quickening screechy background music– a diver writhing in agony because a giant clam had slammed shut on his…

Philippine, US, Japanese And Indian Navies Sail Across South China Sea – Eurasia Review

The Philippine Navy joined top defense ally the United States and regional powers Japan and India in sailing across disputed areas in the South China Sea after recent drills in South Korea, officials said Thursday. The show of force came as the Philippines remained locked in a territorial dispute with China, which has sent fishing ships into maritime territory within Manila’s exclusive economic zone. The six military ships from the four countries sailed from Busan, South Korea, following the first phase of the ASEAN-Plus Defense Ministers’ Meeting (ADMM-Plus) Maritime Security…