Think tank warns of potential US-China clash over Taiwan

A crisis between the US and China over Taiwan could affect US interests next year, according to a survey released by a US think tank on Wednesday, although it said it was not very likely. In the annual Preventive Priorities Survey released by the New York-based Council on Foreign Relations’ Center for Preventive Action (CPA), US foreign policy experts assessed the likelihood and effect of 30 potential conflicts that could emerge or escalate next year. The CPA then categorized the scenarios under three tiers — high, moderate and low —…

Japan should beware of deep US-China currents in the South China Sea – South China Morning Post

Japan should beware of deep US-China currents in the South China Sea  South China Morning Post South China Sea warning: Beijing prepares for ‘confrontations’ as US-China tensions erupt  Express.co.uk China’s new aircraft carrier enters service at South China Sea base  Reuters China’s 1st home-built carrier deploys to South China Sea  Nikkei Asian Review China’s new domestically built Shandong aircraft carrier deployed in the South China Sea  ABC News View full coverage on Google News Source link

Trump trade deal buys Xi time before next U.S.-China battle

For Chinese President Xi Jinping, the phase-one trade deal with U.S. President Donald Trump isn’t exactly a reason to pop open the champagne. After months of arduous negotiations, false starts and dashed hopes, the agreement announced on Friday night helps steady a relationship in free-fall. While that’s important for Xi, who has faced rumblings of discontent as the economy grows at the slowest pace in almost three decades and protests in Hong Kong rage with no end in sight, it’s at best a temporary respite. The deal did nothing to…

Protests could spark stronger U.S.-China deal

WASHINGTON – Six months of civil unrest in Hong Kong has, obviously, created a crisis for the Chinese government. Less obviously, it has created a real conundrum for the U.S. government. At the end of November, in an overwhelming election victory for the opposition, nearly 90 percent of district council seats went to resistance candidates. While that body has little real power, the symbolic value was significant. And on Dec. 9, an estimated 800,000 residents turned out to protest — reversing a gradual string of less-massive demonstrations since they began…

‘Amazing deal’ or ‘capitulation’? Why the US-China trade truce may not last | Business

The trade war between the US and China may never be settled, experts fear, even after the two sides agreed on an outline “phase one” deal. Economists and investors have been poring over the weekend’s announcement, which appeared to end a dispute that has roiled financial markets for 17 months. According to Washington’s trade negotiator, Robert Lighthizer, China has agreed to buy up to $200bn in additional goods and services over the next two years on top of the amount it purchased in 2017. The agreement would also require China…