Coronavirus Worsens U.S.-China Ties and Bolsters Hawks in Washington

BEIJING — Tariffs and the trade war. Espionage and Huawei. Hong Kong, Taiwan and the South China Sea. Now a spiraling epidemic has become the latest and potentially most divisive issue driving apart the United States and China. For the fiercest critics of China within the Trump administration, the global panic over the new coronavirus has provided a new opening to denounce the rule of the Chinese Communist Party, which they say cannot be trusted to disclose what it knows or properly manage the outbreak. But if the hard-liners were…

Asia Times | Coronavirus solidifies US-China decoupling

In November 2019, Henry Kissinger was in Beijing for the Bloomberg Next Economy Forum, warning that the US and China are in the “foothills of a Cold War”, saying that conflict could be worse than World War I if left to run unconstrained. These comments came in the context of escalating tensions in recent years over trade, increasing rhetoric of military conflict over Taiwan and the South China, Sea, accusations of espionage and influence campaigns, and an all-out competition to define the norms and values underpinning the international order. One…

WW3: George Soros’ chilling ‘global disorder’ prediction revealed over US-China tensions | World | News

He made the chilling statement in his 2015 column for The New York Review of Books, as he urged the US and China to form a partnership to avoid escalating hostility. Mr Soros said: “In all areas, national, sectarian, business, and other special interests take precedence over the common interest. “This trend has now reached a point where instead of a global order we have to speak of global disorder. “In the political sphere local conflicts fester and multiply. Taken individually these conflicts could possibly be solved but they tend…

No edge for India in US-China deal

No doubt the Chinese will respond at some point, albeit not directly, to Nirmala Sitharaman’s package of taxes pointedly designed to prevent China dumping in India. For now, however, Beijing is absorbed in the after-effects of the 22-month-long trade dispute with Washington which ended on January 15 when Donald Trump and Liu He, the Chinese vice-premier, signed a Phase One deal. Both sides know they face a much tougher Phase Two process amid a wider race for global technical and military supremacy reaching far beyond trade tensions. Although’s China’s trade…

Report on U.S.-China Competition in East, South China Sea

The following is the Jan. 28, 2020 Congressional Research Service report U.S.-China Strategic Competition in South and East China Seas: Background and Issues for Congress. From the report In an international security environment described as one of renewed great power competition, the South China Sea (SCS) has emerged as an arena of U.S.-China strategic competition. U.S.-China strategic competition in the SCS forms an element of the Trump Administration’s more confrontational overall approach toward China, and of the Administration’s efforts for promoting its construct for the Indo-Pacific region, called the Free…

The U.S.-China Trade War Has Vietnam in the Crosshairs | 2020-02-04

Quach Ngoc Thien should be basking in good times. His fabric-dyeing company is woven tightly into the global garment supply chain. Located in bustling Ho Chi Minh City, Hong Le Trading Co. is emblematic of the promise of a rising Vietnam, which enjoys one of the world’s fastest-growing economies. And now it’s expanding, creating a unit to produce fabric to be turned into T-shirts and dresses for Walmart, Nordstrom, and other U.S. retailers. Yet Thien sleeps fitfully. Every morning he reaches for his iPhone to scan news from faraway capitals…

The U.S.-China Trade War Has Vietnam in the Crosshairs

(Bloomberg Markets) — Quach Ngoc Thien should be basking in good times. His fabric-dyeing company is woven tightly into the global garment supply chain. Located in bustling Ho Chi Minh City, Hong Le Trading Co. is emblematic of the promise of a rising Vietnam, which enjoys one of the world’s fastest-growing economies. And now it’s expanding, creating a unit to produce fabric to be turned into T-shirts and dresses for Walmart, Nordstrom, and other U.S. retailers. Yet Thien sleeps fitfully. Every morning he reaches for his iPhone to scan news…

The real US–China competition: Competing theories of influence

Strategic competition between the United States and China has come to dominate US foreign policy debates. That competition is multifaceted – while rooted principally in a quest for economic pre-eminence and technological mastery, it possesses increasingly important military and ideological components. But it may ultimately turn on a basic question: which country has a more sustainable concept of national influence? The US has often applied overwhelming military force – and used coercion more generally – to maintain its leadership position. More fundamentally, though, it has adopted a persuasive and communal…

US-China trade deal: A win-win for the US and President Trump, not for China; Here’s why

. China’s subsidies earmarked for state-owned enterprises (SOEs), domestic companies and stringent requirements on intellectual property are likely to be covered under ‘phase two’ of the deal. The last 18 months of trade stasis between US-China concluded with an 86-page agreement— ‘phase one’ trade deal covering agreements on intellectual property, currency and China’s commitment to buy $200bn US goods for the next two years. In lieu of the US rolling back 15% duties on $160bn Chinese goods and halving duties on $120bn. The US Treasury Department has also struck China…

Why the U.S.-China Cold War Will Be Different

The United States and China are locked in a rivalry over trade, technology, military control of the South and East China seas, and increasingly over ideology and human rights. The two countries have been in a cyberwar for years already, featuring Chinese attacks on the Pentagon’s personnel system and the U. S. Navy’s ship maintenance records. There is a military build-up on both sides in the direction of great power conflict. Yet, neither side sees it remotely in its self-interest to initiate a violent clash. In short, this is a…